EU hikes eurozone growth forecasts for 2018, 2019

Brussels – The European Commission has raised its growth projections for the eurozone, more confident than ever that the solid economic recovery in Europe will endure through 2019.

The commission, the EU’s executive arm, said Wednesday the 19-country single currency bloc’s economy would expand by 2.3 percent in 2018, up from a previous forecast of 2.1 percent made in November.

Growth would then continue at a solid pace next year, with the eurozone economy expanding by 2.0 percent in 2019, instead of the earlier-predicted 1.9 percent.

“The euro area is enjoying growth rates not seen since before the financial crisis,” said EU Economic Affairs Commissioner Pierre Moscovici.

“Unemployment and deficits continue to fall and investment is at last rising in a meaningful way,” he said.

All signs are that the European economy, long a global laggard, is now firing on all cylinders.

Official data last week showed that growth in the eurozone shot up in 2017 to 2.5 percent, with unemployment currently at a nine-year low.

The news was especially positive for France, the eurozone’s second biggest economy, which saw its forecast revised sharply higher to 2.0 percent for this year.

This was up from the 1.7 percent prediction just three months ago, and will be the first time the country will reach the psychologically important threshold since 2011.

It will also likely mean enough growth to keep France clear of breaching the EU’s deficit limit, which is set in terms of the size of the economy.

Brussels said that the EU-27 as a whole, minus exiting Britain, would expand by 2.5 percent this year and 2.1 percent in 2019.

 

 

Britain meanwhile would expand far below that level, at 1.4 percent in 2018 and 1.1 percent in 2019.

However, the commission, which is also leading the EU-Britain divorce talks, markedly increased the UK’s growth estimate for 2017 to 1.8 percent.

In November, the EU said Britain would only reach 1.5 percent growth.

Powerhouse Germany meanwhile, will remain above the two percent threshold, expanding by 2.3 percent in 2018 and 2.1 percent next year.